Many people claim that it’s very difficult to make money as a horse player. But as you are about to see, this is incorrect. The free horseracing method shown here is extremely easy to use. Yet it will be profitable for any person who has the discipline to carry out the system’s three simple rules.

I will list the rules, and then I will explain why the method works and critique its strong points and weaknesses.

The Three Rules
First: The race has to be a claiming race but it can’t be a maiden claiming race. The way to tell if the race is a claiming race is by looking at the race conditions at the top of the track program or in the past performances.

Second: Calculate each horse’s lifetime earnings per start (LEPS). Use this simple equation to calculate the LEPS: (lifetime earnings) / (lifetime starts) = (lifetime earnings per start). You can find the horse’s lifetime earnings and lifetime starts in the upper right corner of its past performance record.

Third: Bet the horse to win that has the highest earning per start over its lifetime if it goes to post at 8-to-1 or higher odds.

The Reasons Why this Method Works
Horses have different levels of ability. So there are different class levels in horseracing. If a horse is in good condition, he will be an easy winner if he is dropped down to a lower class.

A horse that is selected by the method will have undoubtedly been competitive in higher class levels in the past. Most of these horses as a rule can no longer be competitive at their previous class because they have suffered injuries. So they become “betting tools.” The trainers keep racing these horses because they are looking to use them to make money cashing large bets. The trainer knows that if the horse can get back to its original level of competition even for only one more race, it will be an easy winner against the cheaper field it will face in the race he is running in today. So because of manipulation by the trainer, the horses selected by these rules do win and win suddenly without showing any signs of improvement. Also because of trainer manipulation, these horses will pay very high odds.

The Strong Points and Weaknesses
This system is a big money maker over an extended period of time and will steadily return a profit of over 25% for each dollar that you bet. The weakest link of the method is the win percent. You should expect it to only average from ten to fourteen percent. This means that when you use this method you should expect to see many streaks of consecutive losers.

According to the laws of probability, the size of consecutive losers you can expect from any handicapping system or method is determined by its percentage of wins. If as an example, let’s say you were winning about fourteen percent of the time, which is a fairly optimistic assumption for this system. You should expect to see at the very least one losing streak of 34 losers in a row in every series of 1000 bets. So making the assumption of 14% winners, we should also expect see 27 losing streaks of 10 or more losing bets in a row for each 1000 wagers. This would mean that you would be losing 10 or more consecutive losers about 37% of the time while using this system.

One of the most important factors to evaluate when considering any betting system is the percentage of winners. If you would prefer a handicapping system that has a larger percentage of winners than this system, please consider “The Indicator Handicapping Method” which can be found at turfanalyst.com, my website.

A supplement to this article is available at: http://turfanalyst.com/b … orses.html

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